Family, Fertility, & Children

Dettling, Lisa and Melissa Schettini Kearney, “The Cyclicality of Births and Babies' Health, Revisited: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance,” NBER working paper 30937, February 2023.

Kearney, Melissa and Phillip Levine, “The Causes and Consequences of Declining US Fertility,” in ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Amy Ganz, "Economic Policy in a More Uncertain World,” Aspen Institute Economic Strategy Group, January 2023.

Kearney, Melissa S., “ The “college gap” in marriage and children’s family structure,” NBER working 30078. May 2022

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip B. Levine, “ The US Covid-19 baby bust and rebound,” NBER working paper 30000, May 2022.

Furman, Jason, Melissa S. Kearney, and Wilson Powell, “ The role of childcare challenges in the US jobs market recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic,” NBER working paper 28934, June 2021.

Kearney, Melissa S., Philip B. Levine, Luke Pardue, “The puzzle of falling birth rates since the Great Recession,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, winter 2022, 36(1): 151-176.

Kearney, Melissa, “Child Poverty in the U.S.,” EconoFact, March 2020.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip B. Levine. "Half a Million Fewer Children? The Coming Covid Baby Bust.” Brookings Institution. June 15, 2020.

Kearney, Melissa, “Widening Socioeconomic Differences in Children’s Family Structure,” EconoFact, June 2019.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Philip Levine, “Early Childhood Education by Television: Lessons from Sesame Street ,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11(1), February 2019: 318-350.

Kearney, Melissa and Riley Wilson, “Male Earnings, Marriageable Men, and Non-Marital Fertility: Evidence from the Fracking Boom,” Review of Economics and Statistics 100(4), October 2018: 678-690.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Philip Levine, “The Economics of Non-Marital Childbearing and the Marriage Premium for Children,” Annual Review of Economics (9), September 2017.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine, “Media Influences on Social Outcomes: The Impact of MTV’s 16 and Pregnant on Teen Childbearing,” American Economic Review 105(12), 2015: 3597-3632.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine, “Investigating Recent Trends in the U.S. Teen Birth Rates,” Journal of Health Economics (41), May 2015: 15-29.

Dettling, Lisa and Melisa S. Kearney. “House Prices and Birth Rates: The Impact of the Real Estate Market on the Decision to Have a Baby,” Journal of Public Economics 110, February 2014: 1-166.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine. “Income Inequality and Early, Non-Marital Childbearing,” Journal of Human Resources 49, winter 2014: 1-31.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine, “Why is the Teen Birth Rate So High in the United States and Why Does it Matter?Journal of Economic Perspectives 26(2), Spring 2012: 141-63.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine. “Subsidized Contraception, Fertility, and Sexual Behavior,” Review of Economics and Statistics 91(1), October 2010: 137.

Guryan, Jonathan, Erik Hurst, and Melissa S. Kearney. “Parental Education and Parental Time with Children,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 22(3), Summer 2008: 23-46.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine. “Socioeconomic Disadvantage and Early Childbearing,” in ed. Jonathan Gruber, An Economics Perspective on the Problems of Disadvantaged Youth , University of Chicago Press, October 2009.

Kearney, Melissa S. “Teen Pregnancy Prevention,” in ed. Phillip Levine and David Zimmerman, Targeting Investments in Youth: Fighting Poverty when Resources are Limited , Princeton University Press, October 2010.

Kearney, Melissa S. “Is There an Effect of Incremental Welfare Benefits on Fertility Behavior? A Look at the Family CapJournal of Human Resources 39(2), 2004: 295-325.

Social Policy & Government Programs

Dettling, Lisa and Melissa Schettini Kearney, “The Cyclicality of Births and Babies' Health, Revisited: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance,” NBER working paper 30937, February 2023.

Kearney, Melissa S., Brendan M. Price, and Riley Wilson. " Disability Insurance in the Great Recession: Ease of Access, Program Enrollment, and Local Hysteresis." AEA Papers and Proceedings , May 2021, 111: 486-90.

Kearney, Melissa, “We could abolish child poverty in the U.S. with Social Security benefits for poor kids,” EconoFact, March 2020.

Furman, Jason, Timothy Geithner, Glenn Hubbard, and Melissa Kearney, “Promoting Economic Recovery After Covid-19” Aspen Economic Strategy Group Task Force Report, June 2020.

Kearney, Melissa and Phillip Levine, “Role Models, Mentors, and Media Influences,” in ed. Melissa Kearney and Ron Haskins, “How Cultural Factors Shape Economic Outcomes,” Future of Children June 2020.

Kearney, Melissa and Luke Pardue, “COVID-19 Social Insurance Payments to U.S. Households,” EconoFact, March 2020.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Philip Levine, “Early Childhood Education by Television: Lessons from Sesame Street ,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11(1), February 2019: 318-350.

Browman, Alexander S. , Mesmin Destin, Melissa S. Kearney, and Phillip B. Levine, “How economic inequality shapes mobility expectations and behaviour in disadvantaged youth ,” Nature Human Behaviour 3, February 2019: 214–220.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Magne Mogstad. “Universal Basic Income (UBI) as a Policy Response to Current Challenges,” in ed. Melissa S. Kearney and Amy Ganz, Maintaining the Strength of American Capitalism, Aspen Institute Economic Strategy Group, December 2019.

Kearney, Melissa. “Promoting economic security and upward mobility with programmes that support low-income families and youth,” in Ed. Chad Bown, Economics and Policy in the Age of Trump, VOXEU. June 2017.

Kearney, Melissa, “Welfare and the Federal Budget,” EconoFact, July 2017.

Duggan, Mark, Melissa S. Kearney, and Stephanie Rennane. 2016. “The Supplemental Security Income Program” In R. A. Moffitt (Ed.) Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., Volume II (pp. 1-58). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.

Kearney, Melissa and Lesley Turner, “ Giving Secondary Earners a Tax Break: A Proposal to Help Low- and Middle-Income Families. The Hamilton Project Discussion Paper, December 2013. (Proposal introduced into federal legislation by U.S. Senator Murray, March 2014.)

Aizer, Anna, Nora Gordon, and Melissa Kearney, “Exploring the Growth of the Child SSI Caseload in the Context of the Broader Policy and Demographic Landscape.” Presented at NBER/SSA Disability Research Conference, Washington DC, Oct 2013.

Duggan, Mark and Melissa S. Kearney. “The Impact of Child SSI Enrollment on Household Outcomes: Evidence from the SIPP,” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 26(4), 2007: 861-886.

Kearney, Melissa S. “Is There an Effect of Incremental Welfare Benefits on Fertility Behavior? A Look at the Family CapJournal of Human Resources 39(2), 2004: 295-325.

Income Inequality, Labor Market Outcomes, & Schooling

Furman, Jason, Melissa S. Kearney, and Wilson Powell, “ The Role of Childcare Challenges in the US Jobs Market Recovery During the COVID-19 Pandemic,” NBER working paper 28934, June 2021.

Dawson, Rachel Fulcher, Melissa S. Kearney, and James X. Sullivan. “Comprehensive Approaches to Increasing Student Completion in Higher Education: A Survey of the Landscape,” NBER working paper 28046, November 2020.

Evans, William, Melissa S. Kearney, Brendan Perry, and James X. Sullivan, “Increasing Community College Completion Rates among Low-Income Students: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluation of a Case Management Intervention,” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management , September 2020.

Abraham, Katharine and Melissa S. Kearney. “Explaining the Decline in the U.S. Employment-to-Population Ratio: A Review of the Evidence, Journal of Economic Literature 58(3), September 2020: 585-643

Hershbein, Brad, Melissa Schettini Kearney, Luke W. Pardue, “College Attainment, Income Inequality, and Economic Security: A Simulation Exercise,” AEA Papers & Proceedings May 2020, (longer version: NBER Working Paper No. 26747 February 2020.)

Evans, William N., Melissa S. Kearney, Brendan Perry and James X. Sullivan, “A Cautionary Tale about Emergency Financial Assistance without Services: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluation at a Community College,” AEA Papers & Proceedings Vol. 109, May 2019.

Kearney, Melissa. “Should we be concerned about income inequality?” in Ed. Michael Strain, The U.S. Labor Market: Questions and Challenges for U.S. Policy. Washington D.C.: American Enterprise Institute. June 2016.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Philip Levine, “Income Inequality, Social Mobility, and the Decision to Drop-Out of High School,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity , March 2016.

Gale, William, Melissa Kearney, and Peter Orszag. “Would a significant increase in the top income tax rate substantially alter income inequality?” Brookings Institution. September 28, 2015.

Kearney, Melissa, Brad Hershbein, and Elisa Jacome “Profiles of Change: Employment, Earnings, and Occupations from 1990-2013.” The Hamilton Project. April 20, 2015.

Kearney, Melissa, Brad Hershbein, and Lawrence H. Summers. “Increasing Education: What it Will and Will Not Do for Earnings and Earnings Inequality,” The Hamilton Project. March 30, 2015.

Kearney, Melissa S. and Phillip Levine. “Income Inequality and Early, Non-Marital Childbearing,” Journal of Human Resources 49, winter 2014: 1-31.

Autor, David H, Lawrence F. Katz, and Melissa S. Kearney. “Trends in U.S. Wage Inequality: Re-Assessing the Revisionists,” Review of Economics and Statistics 90(2), May 2008, 300-323.

Autor, David H, Lawrence F. Katz, and Melissa S. Kearney. “The Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market,” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2006, 96(2).

Kearney, Melissa S. “Intergenerational Mobility for Women and Minorities in the United States,” Future of Children , Fall 2006, 16(2).

Autor, David H, Lawrence F. Katz, and Melissa S. Kearney. “Rising Wage Inequality: The Role of Composition and Prices,” NBER working paper 11628, September 2005.

Gambling, Saving, & Individual Decision Making

Filiz-Ozbay, Emel, Kyle Hyndman, Jonathan Guryan, Melissa Kearney, and Erkut Ozbay, “Do Lottery Payments Induce Savings Behavior? Evidence from the Lab,” Journal of Public Economics (126), June 2015: 1-24.

Freedman, Seth, Melissa Kearney, and Mara Lederman. “Product Recalls, Imperfect Information, and Spillover Effects: Lessons from the Consumer Response to the 2007 Toy Recalls,” Review of Economics and Statistics 94(2), May 2012: 499-516.

Guryan, Jonathan and Melissa S. Kearney, “Is Lottery Gambling Addictive?AEJ: Economic Policy 2(3), August 2010: 90–110.

Guryan, Jonathan and Melissa S. Kearney. "Gambling at Lucky Stores: Evidence from State Lottery Sales," American Economic Review 98 (1), March 2008: 458-73.

Kearney, Melissa S. “State Lotteries and Consumer Behavior,” Journal of Public Economics 89, 2005: 2269-2299.

Kearney, Melissa S. “The Economic Winners and Losers of Legalized Gambling,” National Tax Journal 58, June 2005: 281-302.

Kearney, Melissa S., Peter Tufano, Erik Hurst, and Jonathan Guryan. “Making Savings Fun: An Overview of Prize-Linked Savings,” in ed. Olivia Mitchell and Ammamaria Lusardi, Financial Literacy: Implications for Retirement Security and the Financial Marketplace, Oxford University Press, 2011.