Paper | Slides | Data on President-Fed interactions (xlsx) | VoxEU column | ProMarket.org | Financial Times Alphaville coverage | Bloomberg coverage | Coverage by Folha de Sao Paulo (Portuguese) | Coverage in Polish
with Boragan Aruoba
Paper | Slides | Fed sentiments, monetary policy shocks, Greenbook forecast errors, FOMC composition (xlsx) | VoxEU column
with Sebastian Doerr and Donggyu Lee - R&R at the Review of Economic Studies
Paper | Slides | NY Fed Liberty Street Economics Blog | VoxEU column | EFIP Policy Brief | SUERF Policy Brief
with Ben Broadbent, Federico Di Pace, Richard Harrison and Silvana Tenreyro - Forthcoming at the Review of Economic Studies
Paper | Data on UK tradable & nontradable sectors (xls) | Full replication kit | VoxEU column | Video explainer (Faculti.net) | Financial Times Mention | Repec Blog | UK in a Changing Europe Blog
with Seho Kim - Conditionally accepted at the Journal of Monetary Economics
with Juan Antolin-Diaz and Ivan Petrella - Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 238 (2), January 2024
The methodology we develop in this paper is used by the New York Fed in their nowcasting model: see this note and this blog post
Published paper | Latest working paper | Superseded earlier version (CEPR working paper) | Virtual presentation of earlier version (Youtube)
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 15 (2), April 2023, pp. 1-34. Lead Article.
Published paper | Latest working paper | Online appendix | Replication kit (dropbox link)
With Wouter Den Haan - Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 117, January 2021, pp. 258-277.
Published paper | Longer working paper version | Simple explainer about misspecification in macroeconomics | VoxEU column
With Michael McLeay and Silvana Tenreyro - Jackson Hole Economic Symposium 2019.
Paper | Discussion by Wei Xiong (Princeton) | VoxEU column | Bloomberg coverage
With Silvana Tenreyro - Journal of International Economics, Vol. 112, May 2018, pp. 200-218.
With Juan Antolin-Diaz and Ivan Petrella - Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 99(2), May 2017, pp. 343-256.
Published paper | Financial Times coverage | The Telegraph coverage | growthecon blog coverage (Dietz Vollrath) | longandvariable blog coverage (Tony Yates) | VoxEU column
With Itamar Drechsler, David Marques Ibanez and Philipp Schnabl - Journal of Finance, Vol. 71(5), October 2016, pp. 1933-1974. Lead Article.
With Sebnem Kalemli-Özcan - This is a policy note on supporting small businesses during the Covid-19 pandemic, which we wrote in March 2020
Note | VoxEU column | EFIP Policy Brief | SUERF Policy Brief
This is a mini paper about German politics which I wrote for fun in 2018 as a grad student
Paper draft | Data on German federal and state government coalitions